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San Diego St at UNLV: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Jan 26, 2020 4:00 pm - Las Vegas, NV
Odds: San Diego St. by 6.5, Total Points: 133

Matchup Menu: SDSU @ UNLV

More Games From Jan 26, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDSU UNLV
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SDSU UNLV
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 54.5
Field Goal % 42.3% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 45.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 32.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 20.4
Free Throw % 73.7% 73.0%
Ball Control SDSU UNLV
Rebounds 38.3 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 9.7
Turnovers 10.1 10.8
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.2
Steals 6.6 5.0
Fouls 15.5 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDSU UNLV
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SDSU UNLV
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 25.3%
Player Fouled 22.0% 22.9%
Turnover 14.9% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDSU UNLV
Shot Blocked 6.1% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 35.8% 27.7%