San Diego St at UNLV: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 11, 2012 4:00 pm - Las Vegas, NV
Odds: UNLV by 10, Total Points: 142

More Games From Feb 11, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SDSU UNLV
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 56.3
Field Goal % 46.3% 37.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 28.7 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 43.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 28.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 17.7
Free Throw % 76.3% 69.7%
Ball Control SDSU UNLV
Rebounds 33.0 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 11.5
Turnovers 9.7 11.9
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.1
Steals 5.7 5.4
Fouls 15.1 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDSU UNLV
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SDSU UNLV
2 Point Attempt 38.0% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 28.3%
Player Fouled 28.2% 22.0%
Turnover 14.2% 17.4%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDSU UNLV
Shot Blocked 3.8% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 30.0%