San Diego St vs. Creighton: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Nov 26, 2024 2:00 pm - Las Vegas, NV (Neutral Site)
Odds: Creighton by 4.5, Total Points: 139.5

Matchup Menu: SDSU vs. CREI

More Games From Nov 26, 2024

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Early Season Warning: This simulation relies purely on current-season statistics and results, which means there isn't enough data to make very good predictions until roughly a month's worth of games have been played. We recommend you ignore this box score until January 15; however, due to a high volume of user requests we will leave it un-hidden during this early adjustment period.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDSU CREI
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SDSU CREI
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 63.4 57.7
Field Goal % 50.5% 37.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 44.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 25.9
3 Point Shooting % 50.3% 30.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 3.8 10.7
Free Throw % 74.4% 76.6%
Ball Control SDSU CREI
Rebounds 29.0 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.3 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 16.2
Turnovers 10.8 18.4
Blocked Shots 5.6 0.4
Steals 11.2 7.4
Fouls 13.3 9.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +1.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDSU CREI
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SDSU CREI
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 36.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 29.6%
Player Fouled 13.5% 19.3%
Turnover 15.6% 26.7%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 16.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDSU CREI
Shot Blocked 0.6% 8.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 44.3%