San Diego St at Baylor : Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Nov 15, 2011 2:00 pm - Waco, TX
Odds: Baylor by 9, Total Points: 137

More Games From Nov 15, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDST BAY
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SDST BAY
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 59.3
Field Goal % 33.7% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.2 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 35.5% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 27.0 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 35.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.5 17.3
Free Throw % 72.2% 69.7%
Ball Control SDST BAY
Rebounds 31.1 43.8
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 14.3
Turnovers 11.7 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.2 6.2
Steals 4.0 5.6
Fouls 14.3 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDST BAY
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SDST BAY
2 Point Attempt 38.2% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 34.1% 21.6%
Player Fouled 21.3% 21.3%
Turnover 17.5% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDST BAY
Shot Blocked 10.6% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 39.8%