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San Diego St at Baylor : Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Nov 15, 2011 2:00 pm - Waco, TX
Odds: Baylor by 9, Total Points: 137

More Games From Nov 15, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDST BAY
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SDST BAY
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 59.2
Field Goal % 41.9% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 41.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 30.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 16.8
Free Throw % 71.0% 74.0%
Ball Control SDST BAY
Rebounds 35.1 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 10.7
Turnovers 10.8 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.6
Steals 4.8 5.3
Fouls 15.2 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDST BAY
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SDST BAY
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 50.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 21.1%
Player Fouled 24.6% 21.4%
Turnover 15.2% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDST BAY
Shot Blocked 7.8% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 30.9%