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San Diego St at Utah St: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 8, 2023 10:00 pm - Logan, UT
Odds: Utah St. by 3, Total Points: 146

Matchup Menu: SDSU @ USU

More Games From Feb 8, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDSU USU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SDSU USU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 55.0
Field Goal % 42.7% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 28.6% 30.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 22.7
Free Throw % 73.7% 72.5%
Ball Control SDSU USU
Rebounds 36.8 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 8.8
Turnovers 9.5 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.0
Steals 6.6 5.6
Fouls 17.1 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDSU USU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SDSU USU
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 25.5%
Player Fouled 22.8% 24.3%
Turnover 13.5% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDSU USU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 25.2%