Grd Canyon at CS Bakersfld: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 4, 2020 10:00 pm - Bakersfield, CA
Odds: CSU Bakersfield by 2.5, Total Points: 136.5

More Games From Jan 4, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRC CSB
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting GRC CSB
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 47.2 56.5
Field Goal % 43.8% 36.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 28.8 43.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 38.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 13.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 30.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 35.9 19.6
Free Throw % 76.0% 73.0%
Ball Control GRC CSB
Rebounds 36.7 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 21.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 12.1
Turnovers 11.2 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.3
Steals 7.3 5.4
Fouls 15.4 21.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRC CSB
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with GRC CSB
2 Point Attempt 35.2% 51.5%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 15.9%
Player Fouled 30.9% 22.1%
Turnover 16.1% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRC CSB
Shot Blocked 6.0% 9.9%
Offensive Rebound 33.1% 31.5%