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Grd Canyon at Ste F Austin: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 20, 2022 7:30 pm - Nacogdoches, TX
Odds: Stephen F. Austin by 1.5, Total Points: 141.5

Matchup Menu: GRC @ SFA

More Games From Jan 20, 2022

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRC SFA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting GRC SFA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 48.6 54.1
Field Goal % 45.7% 37.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 29.5 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 39.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 31.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 33.2 25.3
Free Throw % 76.0% 70.3%
Ball Control GRC SFA
Rebounds 37.0 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 20.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 11.6
Turnovers 14.7 15.4
Blocked Shots 5.2 2.4
Steals 8.3 7.0
Fouls 18.8 21.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRC SFA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with GRC SFA
2 Point Attempt 34.5% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 19.2%
Player Fouled 28.7% 25.5%
Turnover 20.0% 20.9%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 11.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRC SFA
Shot Blocked 4.6% 10.9%
Offensive Rebound 34.1% 30.6%