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UC Irvine at Kansas St: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 17, 2017 9:00 pm - Manhattan, KS
Odds: Kansas State by 14, Total Points: 134

Matchup Menu: UCI @ KSU

More Games From Nov 17, 2017

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCI KSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UCI KSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 54.0
Field Goal % 40.4% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 45.2 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.1% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.8 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 34.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 25.0
Free Throw % 75.7% 71.9%
Ball Control UCI KSU
Rebounds 35.9 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 9.8
Turnovers 10.0 12.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.3
Steals 6.7 4.6
Fouls 18.3 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCI KSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UCI KSU
2 Point Attempt 52.5% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 18.3% 22.1%
Player Fouled 22.4% 25.2%
Turnover 13.8% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCI KSU
Shot Blocked 8.1% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 28.9%