UC Irvine at Cal Poly: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 11, 2012 10:00 pm - San Luis Obispo, CA
Odds: Cal Poly SLO by 10.5, Total Points: 129.5

More Games From Feb 11, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCI CP
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UCI CP
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 55.5
Field Goal % 49.7% 37.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 38.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.2% 35.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 21.3
Free Throw % 74.1% 69.4%
Ball Control UCI CP
Rebounds 41.5 28.0
Rebounds - Defensive 30.9 20.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 7.2
Turnovers 11.9 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.1
Steals 6.1 5.5
Fouls 16.7 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCI CP
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UCI CP
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 19.6% 21.1%
Player Fouled 23.3% 23.4%
Turnover 16.7% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCI CP
Shot Blocked 3.9% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 33.8% 18.9%