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N Mex State at Nevada : Point Spread Analysis
Thursday Mar 1, 2012 11:00 pm -
Reno, NV
Odds:
Nevada by 3,
Total Points:
143
Matchup Menu: NMSU @ NEV
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| N Mex State +3.5 | Official TR Pick | N Mex State 51% odds to cover |
| N Mex State +3.5 | Decision Tree | N Mex State 51% odds to cover |
| Nevada -3.5 | Similar Games | Nevada 63% odds to cover |
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NMSU | adv | NEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 20-15-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 1-1-0 | 11-9-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-1-0 | 4-0-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-2-0 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 2-1-0 | 10-6-1 | |
| Away | 4-5-0 | 10-9-0 |
N Mex State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/13 | Home | Houston Bap | -- | W by 22 | -- |
| 11/15 | Home | New Mexico | -- | L by 9 | -- |
| 11/18 | Home | TN Tech | -- | W by 13 | -- |
| 11/21 | Home | Miss Val St | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 11/24 | Home | Rob Morris | -- | W by 10 | -- |
| 11/28 | Away | Air Force | -- | L by 2 | -- |
| 12/02 | Home | TX El Paso | -4.5 | W by 14 | +9.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Lg Beach St | +1.0 | L by 14 | -13.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Wyoming | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | New Mexico | +8.0 | L by 18 | -10.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | TX El Paso | +3.0 | W by 20 | +23.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Oral Roberts | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Baylor | +13.0 | L by 15 | -2.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | -- | W by 20 | -- | |
| 01/02 | Away | UC Irvine | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Utah Val St | -- | W by 12 | -- |
| 01/09 | Away | Grand Canyon | -- | L by 4 | -- |
| 01/14 | Home | UMKC | -- | W by 1 | -- |
| 01/16 | Home | Chicago St | -- | W by 18 | -- |
| 01/21 | Away | Seattle | -- | W by 8 | -- |
| 01/23 | Away | CS Bakersfld | -- | W by 1 | -- |
| 01/30 | Home | TX-Pan Am | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 02/04 | Home | Grand Canyon | -- | W by 20 | -- |
| 02/06 | Home | Utah Val St | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 02/08 | Home | -- | W by 31 | -- | |
| 02/13 | Away | Chicago St | -- | W by 14 | -- |
| 02/15 | Away | Wichita St | +16.5 | L by 30 | -13.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | CS Bakersfld | -- | W by 8 | -- |
| 02/20 | Home | Seattle | -- | W by 13 | -- |
| 02/27 | Away | UMKC | -- | W by 1 | -- |
| 03/05 | Away | TX-Pan Am | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 03/11 | Neutral | UMKC | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | CS Bakersfld | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 03/15 | Away | St Marys | +10.5 | L by 2 | +8.5 |
Nevada Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/13 | Neutral | Coastal Car | +2.5 | W by 17 | +19.5 |
| 11/15 | Neutral | Montana St | -9.0 | W by 21 | +12.0 |
| 11/16 | Away | Hawaii | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
| 11/21 | Away | Pacific | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Portland St | -10.0 | W by 3 | -7.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | CS Fullerton | -2.5 | L by 9 | -11.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | -- | W by 51 | -- | |
| 12/05 | Away | Oregon St | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | -- | W by 49 | -- | |
| 12/12 | Home | Drake | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Santa Clara | -8.5 | W by 3 | -5.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Wichita St | +16.5 | L by 29 | -12.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | New Mexico | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Wyoming | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Fresno St | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Air Force | +2.0 | W by 23 | +25.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Boise State | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wyoming | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | UNLV | +5.5 | W by 2 | +7.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | San Diego St | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Utah State | +5.5 | W by 5 | +10.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Colorado St | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Air Force | -10.5 | W by 20 | +9.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Fresno St | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | San Jose St | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | UNLV | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Utah State | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Colorado St | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Boise State | +12.0 | L by 19 | -7.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | New Mexico | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | New Mexico | +4.0 | W by 2 | +6.0 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | San Diego St | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 03/16 | Home | Montana | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | E Washingtn | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 03/23 | Home | Vermont | -4.5 | W by 14 | +9.5 |
| 03/28 | Away | Morehead St | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 03/30 | Home | Morehead St | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 04/01 | Home | Morehead St | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |