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N Mex State at Nevada : Point Spread Analysis
Thursday Mar 1, 2012 11:00 pm -
Reno, NV
Odds:
Nevada by 3,
Total Points:
143
Matchup Menu: NMSU @ NEV
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| N Mex State +3.5 | Official TR Pick | N Mex State 51% odds to cover |
| N Mex State +3.5 | Decision Tree | N Mex State 51% odds to cover |
| Nevada -3.5 | Similar Games | Nevada 63% odds to cover |
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NMSU | adv | NEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-3-0 | 23-11-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-1-0 | 16-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-2-0 | 9-1-0 | |
| Home | 1-0-0 | 11-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-3-0 | 12-8-1 |
N Mex State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Home | -- | W by 48 | -- | |
| 11/13 | Away | Colorado St | -- | L by 3 | -- |
| 11/16 | Home | Samford | -- | W by 10 | -- |
| 11/18 | Away | New Mexico | +8.0 | L by 13 | -5.0 |
| 11/20 | Home | Beth-Cook | -- | W by 16 | -- |
| 11/22 | Home | Nicholls St | -- | W by 12 | -- |
| 11/26 | Away | San Diego | -- | W by 5 | -- |
| 11/30 | Home | Air Force | -- | W by 8 | -- |
| 12/03 | Home | Lg Beach St | -- | W by 8 | -- |
| 12/10 | Home | New Mexico | +2.0 | W by 13 | +15.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | TX El Paso | -- | W by 11 | -- |
| 12/17 | Away | Arizona St | -- | W by 11 | -- |
| 12/19 | Home | UC Irvine | -- | W by 6 | -- |
| 12/27 | Home | -- | W by 34 | -- | |
| 12/30 | Home | TX El Paso | -- | W by 9 | -- |
| 01/05 | Away | UMKC | -- | W by 13 | -- |
| 01/07 | Away | Chicago St | -- | W by 16 | -- |
| 01/12 | Home | Grand Canyon | -- | W by 12 | -- |
| 01/14 | Home | CS Bakersfld | -- | W by 5 | -- |
| 01/21 | Home | UMKC | -- | W by 23 | -- |
| 01/26 | Away | Seattle | -- | W by 15 | -- |
| 01/28 | Away | Utah Val St | -- | W by 5 | -- |
| 01/30 | Home | -- | W by 23 | -- | |
| 02/04 | Home | Chicago St | -- | W by 35 | -- |
| 02/09 | Away | CS Bakersfld | -- | L by 19 | -- |
| 02/11 | Away | Grand Canyon | -- | L by 12 | -- |
| 02/18 | Away | TX-Pan Am | -- | W by 6 | -- |
| 02/23 | Home | Utah Val St | -- | L by 12 | -- |
| 02/25 | Home | Seattle | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 03/04 | Home | TX-Pan Am | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Chicago St | -18.5 | W by 14 | -4.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | UMKC | -8.5 | W by 18 | +9.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | CS Bakersfld | -1.5 | W by 10 | +8.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Baylor | +11.5 | L by 18 | -6.5 |
Nevada Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Away | St Marys | +11.5 | L by 18 | -6.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Loyola Mymt | -10.0 | W by 15 | +5.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Oregon St | -9.0 | W by 25 | +16.0 |
| 11/20 | Home | Iona | -12.0 | W by 15 | +3.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Oakland | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Buffalo | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Iona | -3.0 | L by 2 | -5.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Pacific | -9.0 | W by 10 | +1.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Bradley | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Washington | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | UC Irvine | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Towson | -5.0 | W by 9 | +4.0 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | UCSB | -11.5 | W by 1 | -10.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | San Jose St | -11.5 | W by 25 | +13.5 |
| 12/31 | Away | Fresno St | -2.0 | L by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | San Diego St | -2.0 | W by 3 | +1.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | New Mexico | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Wyoming | (Pick) | W by 15 | +15.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Air Force | -11.5 | W by 7 | -4.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Fresno St | -6.0 | L by 5 | -11.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | Boise State | +4.0 | W by 19 | +23.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | New Mexico | -4.5 | W by 17 | +12.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Utah State | -4.5 | L by 17 | -21.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | UNLV | -12.5 | W by 27 | +14.5 |
| 02/12 | Away | San Diego St | +3.5 | L by 14 | -10.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Air Force | -6.0 | W by 19 | +13.0 |
| 02/18 | Home | Utah State | -9.5 | W by 11 | +1.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Boise State | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | UNLV | -8.0 | W by 36 | +28.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | San Jose St | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Colorado St | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Utah State | -8.0 | W by 14 | +6.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Fresno St | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Colorado St | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Iowa State | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |