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N Mex State at Arizona: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Nov 17, 2019 2:00 pm - Tucson, AZ
Odds: Arizona by 12.5, Total Points: 136

Matchup Menu: NMSU @ ARIZ

More Games From Nov 17, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NMSU ARIZ
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NMSU ARIZ
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 57.8
Field Goal % 36.2% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 40.9% 58.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.0% 37.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.1 32.6
Free Throw % 65.5% 71.0%
Ball Control NMSU ARIZ
Rebounds 29.3 46.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 33.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 12.8
Turnovers 11.5 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.4
Steals 5.1 8.0
Fouls 20.2 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NMSU ARIZ
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NMSU ARIZ
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 25.2%
Player Fouled 18.1% 27.3%
Turnover 15.6% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NMSU ARIZ
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 18.8% 37.4%