Utah St at Idaho: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 21, 2012 11:05 pm - Moscow, ID
Odds: Idaho by 2, Total Points: 130.5

More Games From Jan 21, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring USU IDHO
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting USU IDHO
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.1 56.8
Field Goal % 53.1% 38.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 61.8% 44.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 29.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 26.4 12.9
Free Throw % 72.5% 74.3%
Ball Control USU IDHO
Rebounds 37.8 27.2
Rebounds - Defensive 30.1 21.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 6.1
Turnovers 8.5 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.6 1.9
Steals 6.7 4.3
Fouls 12.9 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USU IDHO
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with USU IDHO
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 30.3%
Player Fouled 26.5% 18.7%
Turnover 12.3% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken USU IDHO
Shot Blocked 3.4% 8.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 16.9%