UC Davis vs. CS Fullerton: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Mar 14, 2019 5:30 pm - Anaheim, CA (Neutral Site)
Odds: CSU Fullerton by 2, Total Points: 130.5

More Games From Mar 14, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCD CSF
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UCD CSF
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 55.8
Field Goal % 46.1% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 37.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 22.2
Free Throw % 79.0% 71.6%
Ball Control UCD CSF
Rebounds 33.0 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 7.8
Turnovers 15.4 16.1
Blocked Shots 3.3 1.3
Steals 7.7 6.7
Fouls 19.4 20.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCD CSF
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UCD CSF
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 19.6%
Player Fouled 25.7% 24.9%
Turnover 19.8% 20.7%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCD CSF
Shot Blocked 2.3% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 22.9%