Utah St at Pacific: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 3, 2011 10:00 pm - Stockton, CA
Odds: Utah St. by 4, Total Points: 124

More Games From Dec 3, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring USU PAC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting USU PAC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 54.8
Field Goal % 56.0% 38.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 68.2% 44.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 27.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 28.2 19.3
Free Throw % 71.6% 65.1%
Ball Control USU PAC
Rebounds 40.9 25.0
Rebounds - Defensive 31.6 19.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 5.4
Turnovers 8.7 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.1 1.2
Steals 6.1 4.7
Fouls 16.7 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USU PAC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with USU PAC
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 23.9%
Player Fouled 25.3% 23.5%
Turnover 12.2% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken USU PAC
Shot Blocked 2.3% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 14.7%