Utah St vs. N Texas: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 29, 2024 6:30 pm - Orlando, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Utah State by 4.5, Total Points: 135

Matchup Menu: USU vs. UNT

More Games From Nov 29, 2024

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring USU UNT
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting USU UNT
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 54.9
Field Goal % 49.6% 38.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 59.2% 44.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 24.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.8 24.4
Free Throw % 71.9% 69.9%
Ball Control USU UNT
Rebounds 36.0 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 19.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 12.9
Turnovers 12.6 12.4
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.1
Steals 7.4 7.8
Fouls 16.0 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USU UNT
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with USU UNT
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 20.1%
Player Fouled 24.5% 22.9%
Turnover 17.9% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken USU UNT
Shot Blocked 7.7% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 35.8% 33.9%