UC Davis at Cal St Nrdge: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 14, 2012 10:05 pm - Northridge, CA
Odds: CSU Northridge by 8.5, Total Points: 137

More Games From Jan 14, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCD CSN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UCD CSN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 54.6
Field Goal % 40.8% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 29.7 40.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 14.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 29.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 23.5
Free Throw % 76.1% 67.7%
Ball Control UCD CSN
Rebounds 33.8 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 10.4
Turnovers 13.0 14.8
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.9
Steals 8.7 7.2
Fouls 18.4 20.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCD CSN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UCD CSN
2 Point Attempt 35.4% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 16.3%
Player Fouled 27.2% 24.9%
Turnover 17.5% 20.0%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 11.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCD CSN
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 29.6%