UC Davis at UCSB: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 9, 2019 11:59 pm - Santa Barbara, CA
Odds: UC Santa Barbara by 8.5, Total Points: 132

More Games From Feb 9, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCD UCSB
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UCD UCSB
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 48.9 56.1
Field Goal % 42.1% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.5 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 39.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 27.3
Free Throw % 79.0% 72.9%
Ball Control UCD UCSB
Rebounds 27.2 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 4.9 10.1
Turnovers 15.6 10.8
Blocked Shots 1.6 1.6
Steals 4.4 7.0
Fouls 19.6 19.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCD UCSB
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UCD UCSB
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 19.5% 20.7%
Player Fouled 26.4% 26.4%
Turnover 21.1% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCD UCSB
Shot Blocked 2.9% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 15.6% 31.1%