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NC A&T at Howard

  Saturday Jan 14, 2012 - 3:00 pm - Washington, DC | Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A | Team Pages: NCAT | HOW

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCAT HOW
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting NCAT HOW
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 51.3 47.4
Field Goal % 35.0% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.8 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 40.4% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 16.1
3 Point Shooting % 26.2% 32.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 23.8
Free Throw % 67.2% 71.0%

Ball Control NCAT HOW
Rebounds 34.4 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 10.6
Turnovers 13.3 13.0
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.3
Steals 4.1 6.9
Fouls 16.7 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCAT HOW
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with NCAT HOW
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 20.9%
Player Fouled 24.8% 25.8%
Turnover 20.6% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 6.3%

Odds Per Shot Taken NCAT HOW
Shot Blocked 7.2% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 36.6% 33.7%