Charlotte at Central Mich: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Nov 15, 2011 7:00 pm - Mount Pleasant, MI
Odds: Charlotte by 2, Total Points: 127

More Games From Nov 15, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHAR CMU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CHAR CMU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 57.3
Field Goal % 41.9% 38.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 44.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 28.6% 26.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 15.5
Free Throw % 75.2% 67.1%
Ball Control CHAR CMU
Rebounds 37.3 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 10.4
Turnovers 7.9 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.1
Steals 4.6 4.5
Fouls 12.8 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHAR CMU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CHAR CMU
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 25.4%
Player Fouled 22.1% 19.6%
Turnover 12.1% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHAR CMU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 27.5%