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Lg Beach St at Stanford: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Nov 12, 2019 9:00 pm - Stanford, CA
Odds: Stanford by 13, Total Points: 143

Matchup Menu: LBSU @ STAN

More Games From Nov 12, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LBSU STAN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting LBSU STAN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 65.6 59.8
Field Goal % 42.0% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 46.1 31.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 28.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 40.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 17.9
Free Throw % 71.5% 73.9%
Ball Control LBSU STAN
Rebounds 37.8 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 7.4
Turnovers 10.2 12.5
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.8
Steals 7.2 5.3
Fouls 15.1 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LBSU STAN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with LBSU STAN
2 Point Attempt 52.2% 37.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 34.0%
Player Fouled 19.0% 19.9%
Turnover 13.5% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LBSU STAN
Shot Blocked 4.7% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 21.9%