NBA Playoffs Matchup Predictor - E2 Miami vs. W1 San Antonio

Project Series:

VS

Current Series Win Odds

San Antonio currently has 75.9% odds to win this series.

Winner/Length Odds Of Projected Series


Similar Historical Results

Since the 2003-2004 season, there have been 60 games where the 2 seed played against the 1 seed. In those games:

  • The 2 seed has a straight up record of 35-25-0 (The 1 seed is 25-35-0 straight up)
  • The 2 seed has a record against the spread of 40-20-0 (The 1 seed is 20-40-0 ATS)
  • The game went over the total 27 times, under 32 times, and pushed 1 times

Regular Season Performance : San Antonio 1-1 Miami

Date Winner HAN Score ATS O/U
Thu 3/6 San Antonio Home 111-87 San Antonio -3.5 Under 206.0
Sun 1/26 Miami Home 113-101 Miami -3.5 Over 205.0

Miami Heat Stats vs. San Antonio Spurs

Pts/Gm Reb/Gm Ast/Gm
Player vsSAS All %dif vsSAS All %dif vsSAS All %dif
Chris Bosh 24.0 16.2 48.0% 6.0 6.6 -9.2% 2.0 1.1 81.6%
LeBron James 18.5 27.1 -31.8% 7.5 6.9 8.3% 6.5 6.4 2.4%
Dwyane Wade 12.0 19.0 -37.0% 3.0 4.4 -32.5% 6.0 4.7 28.6%
Michael Beasley 11.5 7.9 45.1% 5.0 3.1 59.9% 1.0 0.7 34.1%
Mario Chalmers 10.5 9.8 7.1% 1.5 2.9 -48.8% 5.0 4.9 2.2%
Ray Allen 8.0 9.6 -16.7% 2.0 2.8 -28.8% 4.0 2.0 104.2%
Chris Andersen 7.0 6.6 5.7% 5.5 5.3 4.5% 0.0 0.3 -100.0%
Norris Cole 5.5 6.4 -14.4% 3.0 2.0 53.7% 2.0 3.0 -33.6%
Greg Oden 1.5 2.9 -48.5% 1.5 2.3 -36.1% 0.0 0.0 -100.0%
Shane Battier 0.0 4.1 -100.0% 1.5 1.9 -20.7% 0.0 0.9 -100.0%

San Antonio Spurs Stats vs. Miami Heat

Pts/Gm Reb/Gm Ast/Gm
Player vsMIA All %dif vsMIA All %dif vsMIA All %dif
Tim Duncan 23.0 15.1 52.1% 7.0 9.7 -28.2% 1.0 3.0 -66.4%
Boris Diaw 15.5 9.1 70.8% 4.5 4.1 9.0% 4.0 2.8 42.3%
Tony Parker 14.0 16.7 -16.0% 1.0 2.3 -56.1% 5.5 5.7 -3.9%
Kawhi Leonard 11.0 12.8 -14.0% 5.0 6.2 -19.9% 0.0 2.0 -100.0%
Marco Belinelli 10.0 11.4 -12.2% 2.5 2.8 -11.5% 3.0 2.2 34.1%
Jeff Ayres 7.0 3.3 112.9% 4.0 3.5 13.2% 2.0 0.8 143.3%
Tiago Splitter 7.0 8.2 -14.5% 2.0 6.2 -67.5% 4.0 1.5 162.2%
Patrick Mills 6.0 10.2 -41.2% 6.0 2.1 187.6% 2.0 1.8 8.7%
Danny Green 6.0 9.1 -34.0% 3.0 3.4 -10.9% 3.0 1.5 96.2%
Manu Ginobili 4.5 12.3 -63.5% 0.5 3.0 -83.2% 2.5 4.3 -41.8%
Cory Joseph 3.0 5.0 -40.5% 1.0 1.6 -36.4% 1.0 1.7 -40.4%
Aron Baynes 3.0 3.0 -1.2% 3.5 2.7 27.9% 1.0 0.6 55.9%
Matt Bonner 2.5 3.2 -22.6% 1.0 2.1 -53.1% 0.0 0.5 -100.0%

Team Power Ratings

Rating MIA adv SAS
Overall 103.5 (#7) 107.4 (#1)
Predictive 102.8 (#7) 105.3 (#1)
Last 10 Games 96.5 (#24) 105.2 (#6)
Away Games 102.8 (#12) 108.5 (#1)
Home Games 104.4 (#7) 105.8 (#5)
Conference Games 102.2 (#12) 107.3 (#1)
Non-Conf Games 105.5 (#2) 107.6 (#1)
Schedule Strength 100.1 (#14) 100.7 (#7)

Offensive Stat Comparison

MIA SAS
Points/Game 102.2 105.4
Avg Score Margin +4.8 +7.7
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 13.2 13.2
Pts in Paint/Gm 45.2 45.9
Assists/Game 22.5 25.2
Total Rebounds/Gm 43.8 49.7
Effective FG % 55.4% 53.7%
Off Rebound % 20.6% 22.7%
FTA/FGA 0.300 0.240
Turnover % 14.4% 13.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

MIA SAS
Opp Points/Game 97.4 97.6
Opp Effective FG % 51.1% 48.2%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 41.1 42.2
Off Rebounds/Gm 7.6 9.3
Def Rebounds/Gm 29.2 34.0
Blocks/Game 4.5 5.1
Steals/Game 8.9 7.4
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.5 18.2