NBA Playoffs Matchup Predictor - E2 Miami vs. W1 San Antonio

Project Series:

VS

Current Series Win Odds

San Antonio currently has 75.9% odds to win this series.

Winner/Length Odds Of Projected Series


Similar Historical Results

Since the 2003-2004 season, there have been 60 games where the 2 seed played against the 1 seed. In those games:

  • The 2 seed has a straight up record of 35-25-0 (The 1 seed is 25-35-0 straight up)
  • The 2 seed has a record against the spread of 40-20-0 (The 1 seed is 20-40-0 ATS)
  • The game went over the total 27 times, under 32 times, and pushed 1 times

Regular Season Performance : San Antonio 1-1 Miami

Date Winner HAN Score ATS O/U
Thu 3/6 San Antonio Home 111-87 San Antonio -3.5 Under 206.0
Sun 1/26 Miami Home 113-101 Miami -3.5 Over 205.0

Miami Heat Stats vs. San Antonio Spurs

Pts/Gm Reb/Gm Ast/Gm
Player vsSAS All %dif vsSAS All %dif vsSAS All %dif
Chris Bosh 24.0 16.2 48.4% 6.0 6.6 -8.7% 2.0 1.1 83.9%
LeBron James 18.5 27.1 -31.8% 7.5 6.9 7.9% 6.5 6.3 3.5%
Dwyane Wade 12.0 19.1 -37.2% 3.0 4.4 -31.5% 6.0 4.7 28.4%
Michael Beasley 11.5 7.9 45.1% 5.0 3.1 59.9% 1.0 0.7 34.1%
Mario Chalmers 10.5 9.8 7.5% 1.5 2.9 -48.8% 5.0 4.9 3.1%
Ray Allen 8.0 9.5 -15.5% 2.0 2.8 -28.5% 4.0 2.0 104.1%
Chris Andersen 7.0 6.6 5.4% 5.5 5.3 3.2% 0.0 0.3 -100.0%
Norris Cole 5.5 6.4 -14.5% 3.0 1.9 54.7% 2.0 3.0 -33.3%
Greg Oden 1.5 2.9 -48.5% 1.5 2.3 -36.1% 0.0 0.0 -100.0%
Shane Battier 0.0 4.1 -100.0% 1.5 1.9 -20.7% 0.0 0.9 -100.0%

San Antonio Spurs Stats vs. Miami Heat

Pts/Gm Reb/Gm Ast/Gm
Player vsMIA All %dif vsMIA All %dif vsMIA All %dif
Tim Duncan 23.0 15.3 50.5% 7.0 9.7 -27.9% 1.0 2.9 -65.9%
Boris Diaw 15.5 9.0 72.0% 4.5 4.1 9.8% 4.0 2.8 42.9%
Tony Parker 14.0 16.7 -16.4% 1.0 2.3 -56.6% 5.5 5.7 -3.9%
Kawhi Leonard 11.0 12.8 -13.8% 5.0 6.3 -20.6% 0.0 2.0 -100.0%
Marco Belinelli 10.0 11.2 -11.1% 2.5 2.8 -11.2% 3.0 2.2 35.8%
Jeff Ayres 7.0 3.2 115.8% 4.0 3.5 14.7% 2.0 0.8 146.7%
Tiago Splitter 7.0 8.2 -14.5% 2.0 6.2 -67.9% 4.0 1.5 160.9%
Patrick Mills 6.0 10.1 -40.6% 6.0 2.1 189.4% 2.0 1.8 10.1%
Danny Green 6.0 9.0 -33.0% 3.0 3.4 -11.5% 3.0 1.5 97.1%
Manu Ginobili 4.5 12.4 -63.7% 0.5 3.0 -83.4% 2.5 4.3 -41.5%
Cory Joseph 3.0 5.0 -40.5% 1.0 1.6 -36.4% 1.0 1.7 -40.4%
Aron Baynes 3.0 3.0 -1.2% 3.5 2.7 27.9% 1.0 0.6 55.9%
Matt Bonner 2.5 3.2 -21.3% 1.0 2.1 -52.3% 0.0 0.5 -100.0%

Team Power Ratings

Rating MIA adv SAS
Overall 103.6 (#7) 107.4 (#1)
Predictive 102.8 (#7) 105.3 (#1)
Last 10 Games 96.5 (#23) 105.2 (#5)
Away Games 102.7 (#12) 108.4 (#1)
Home Games 104.7 (#6) 106.1 (#4)
Conference Games 102.4 (#12) 107.4 (#1)
Non-Conf Games 105.5 (#2) 107.5 (#1)
Schedule Strength 100.1 (#15) 100.7 (#8)

Offensive Stat Comparison

MIA SAS
Points/Game 102.2 105.2
Avg Score Margin +4.8 +7.7
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 13.1 13.2
Pts in Paint/Gm 45.0 46.0
Assists/Game 22.4 25.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 43.8 49.8
Effective FG % 55.4% 53.6%
Off Rebound % 20.5% 22.6%
FTA/FGA 0.301 0.240
Turnover % 14.3% 13.3%

Defensive Stat Comparison

MIA SAS
Opp Points/Game 97.3 97.5
Opp Effective FG % 51.1% 48.1%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 41.1 42.1
Off Rebounds/Gm 7.6 9.3
Def Rebounds/Gm 29.3 34.0
Blocks/Game 4.5 5.1
Steals/Game 8.9 7.3
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.4 18.2