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Predict Any Possible Series

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Latest Series Win Odds

The win odds calculations below use the same power ratings calculations as the round-by-round survival odds. However, the win odds are updated after every game in the NBA Playoffs.

Round Series Status Series Win Odds
First Round #1 Golden State vs. #8 Portland GSW 4-0 GSW Wins
First Round #1 Boston vs. #8 Chicago Tied 2-2 BOS 73.8%
First Round #2 San Antonio vs. #7 Memphis Tied 2-2 SAS 79.3%
First Round #2 Cleveland vs. #7 Indiana CLE 4-0 CLE Wins
First Round #3 Houston vs. #6 Okla City HOU 3-1 HOU 96.3%
First Round #3 Toronto vs. #6 Milwaukee TOR 3-2 TOR 86.3%
First Round #4 LA Clippers vs. #5 Utah Tied 2-2 LAC 63.5%
First Round #4 Washington vs. #5 Atlanta Tied 2-2 WAS 61.5%

Series Projections

The charts below show the predicted chance of each team winning a series in a specific number of games, as of the start of the series. A gray bar indicates that result is no longer possible. Above each chart are the current series win odds for each team.

First Round

Round-by-round Survival Odds

The series odds table below lists the round-by-round survival odds for every team. Using win odds calculations derived from our power ratings and additional data (like betting market info), we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible NBA Playoffs series.

NOTE: This table is only updated after each round ends. It does not get updated on a daily, game-by-game basis.

Seed Team Region Quarter Semi Champ Win
W1 Golden State Western 98.57% 87.35% 73.40% 60.71%
E2 Cleveland Eastern 90.63% 76.78% 63.13% 20.01%
W2 San Antonio Western 86.32% 59.86% 14.83% 9.25%
W3 Houston Western 75.82% 30.52% 5.61% 3.04%
E1 Boston Eastern 81.66% 54.20% 16.73% 2.02%
W4 LA Clippers Western 66.15% 9.28% 4.18% 2.00%
E3 Toronto Eastern 77.59% 17.13% 10.25% 1.46%
W5 Utah Western 33.85% 3.09% 1.12% 0.46%
E4 Washington Eastern 64.52% 27.56% 4.97% 0.43%
E7 Indiana Eastern 9.37% 3.72% 1.74% 0.17%
W6 Okla City Western 24.18% 5.83% 0.51% 0.16%
E5 Atlanta Eastern 35.48% 12.72% 1.79% 0.12%
W7 Memphis Western 13.68% 3.79% 0.29% 0.08%
E6 Milwaukee Eastern 22.41% 2.37% 0.88% 0.06%
E8 Chicago Eastern 18.34% 5.53% 0.51% 0.02%
W8 Portland Western 1.43% 0.27% 0.05% 0.01%