Jump to:

Predict Any Matchup

vs

Latest Series Win Odds

The win odds calculations below use the same power ratings calculations as the round-by-round survival odds. However, the win odds are updated after every game in the NBA Playoffs.

Round Series Status Series Win Odds
Conference Semifinals #1 Golden State vs. #5 Portland GSW 2-0 GSW 96.4%
Conference Semifinals #1 Cleveland vs. #4 Atlanta CLE 1-0 CLE 87.1%
Conference Semifinals #2 San Antonio vs. #3 Okla City Tied 1-1 SAS 62.0%
Conference Semifinals #2 Toronto vs. #3 Miami MIA 1-0 MIA 56.2%

Series Projections

The charts below show the predicted chance of each team winning a series in a specific number of games, as of the start of the series. A gray bar indicates that result is no longer possible. Above each chart are the current series win odds for each team.

Conference Semifinals

Round-by-round Survival Odds

The series odds table below lists the round-by-round survival odds for every team. Using win odds calculations derived from our power ratings and additional data (like betting market info), we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible NBA Playoffs series.

NOTE: This table is only updated after each round ends. It does not get updated on a daily, game-by-game basis.

Seed Team Region Quarter Semi Champ Win
W1 Golden State 100.00% 90.44% 58.20% 46.47%
W2 San Antonio 100.00% 72.23% 31.73% 24.32%
E1 Cleveland 100.00% 81.76% 67.66% 20.07%
W3 Okla City 100.00% 27.77% 8.37% 4.71%
E2 Toronto 74.55% 51.53% 14.31% 1.91%
E4 Atlanta 100.00% 18.24% 9.66% 1.22%
W5 Portland 100.00% 9.56% 1.70% 0.64%
E3 Miami 60.50% 24.47% 4.88% 0.41%
E6 Charlotte 39.50% 14.21% 2.17% 0.15%
E7 Indiana 25.45% 9.79% 1.33% 0.08%