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Predict Any Possible Series

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Latest Series Win Odds

The win odds calculations below use the same power ratings calculations as the round-by-round survival odds. However, the win odds are updated after every game in the NBA Playoffs.

Round Series Status Series Win Odds
Conference Semifinals #1 Boston vs. #4 Washington Tied 0-0 BOS 58.2%
Conference Semifinals #2 San Antonio vs. #3 Houston Tied 0-0 SAS 66.8%
Conference Semifinals #2 Cleveland vs. #3 Toronto Tied 0-0 CLE 82.0%
First Round #4 LA Clippers vs. #5 Utah Tied 3-3 LAC 60.7%

Series Projections

The charts below show the predicted chance of each team winning a series in a specific number of games, as of the start of the series. A gray bar indicates that result is no longer possible. Above each chart are the current series win odds for each team.

Conference Semifinals

Round-by-round Survival Odds

The series odds table below lists the round-by-round survival odds for every team. Using win odds calculations derived from our power ratings and additional data (like betting market info), we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible NBA Playoffs series.

NOTE: This table is only updated after each round ends. It does not get updated on a daily, game-by-game basis.

Seed Team Region Quarter Semi Champ Win
W1 Golden State Western 100.00% 93.99% 78.15% 64.17%
E2 Cleveland Eastern 100.00% 81.98% 67.71% 19.92%
W2 San Antonio Western 100.00% 66.82% 14.94% 9.16%
W3 Houston Western 100.00% 33.18% 5.18% 2.76%
E3 Toronto Eastern 100.00% 18.02% 10.91% 1.47%
E1 Boston Eastern 100.00% 58.17% 14.68% 1.35%
E4 Washington Eastern 100.00% 41.83% 6.70% 0.54%
W5 Utah Western 46.43% 3.00% 0.89% 0.32%
W4 LA Clippers Western 53.57% 3.00% 0.84% 0.29%