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Washington at Miami: Recap

Saturday Apr 4, 2026 3:00 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 17.5, Total Points: 245.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami WAS 6.0%
MIA 94.0%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
WAS +17.5 WAS 50.5%
MIA 49.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 245.5 Over 47.7%
Under 52.3%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off WAS -2.4%
MIA -2.1%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
WAS 113.3 114.0 136
MIA 130.6 131.5 152

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat WAS MIA
Points/Game 112.9 120.9
Avg Score Margin -12.0 +2.3
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 14.5 18.4
Pts in Paint/Gm 47.7 54.7
Assists/Game 25.0 29.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 50.2 55.0
Effective FG % 53.5% 54.2%
Off Rebound % 24.1% 25.3%
FTA/FGA 0.235 0.266
Turnover % 13.4% 11.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat WAS MIA
Opp Points/Game 124.9 118.6
Opp Effective FG % 56.3% 54.0%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 55.7 52.0
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.0 11.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 30.9 34.5
Blocks/Game 5.5 4.3
Steals/Game 8.0 8.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 21.3 18.7