Washington at Philadelphia : Box Score Simulation

Friday Jan 13, 2012 7:00 pm - Philadelphia, PA
Odds: Philadelphia by 13, Total Points: 185.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS PHI
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting WAS PHI
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 85.7 84.9
Field Goal % 44.9% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 59.9 55.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 29.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 32.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 29.4 27.2
Free Throw % 75.5% 76.2%
Ball Control WAS PHI
Rebounds 47.2 53.5
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 39.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 13.6
Turnovers 12.2 16.0
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.8
Steals 8.0 6.4
Fouls 20.8 22.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS PHI
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with WAS PHI
2 Point Attempt 51.3% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 24.3%
Player Fouled 21.7% 20.0%
Turnover 11.7% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS PHI
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 27.3%