Golden State at Phoenix: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Mar 4, 2021 10:00 pm - Phoenix, AZ
Odds: Phoenix by 13, Total Points: 220

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS PHO
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting GS PHO
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 94.8 87.6
Field Goal % 45.2% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 53.4 53.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 41.3 34.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 37.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 23.9
Free Throw % 76.4% 79.6%
Ball Control GS PHO
Rebounds 50.1 51.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.4 39.3
Rebounds - Offensive 14.8 11.9
Turnovers 11.3 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.1 5.4
Steals 6.9 6.4
Fouls 18.1 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS PHO
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with GS PHO
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 34.5% 29.4%
Player Fouled 14.9% 17.6%
Turnover 10.9% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS PHO
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 25.1%