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Golden State at Houston

  Thursday Mar 22, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Houston, TX | Odds: Houston by 8, Total Points: 195.5 | Team Pages: GSW | HOU

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSW HOU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting GSW HOU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 87.6 83.5
Field Goal % 47.0% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 59.0 54.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 28.6 28.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 33.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 29.7
Free Throw % 75.3% 70.3%

Ball Control GSW HOU
Rebounds 51.7 50.2
Rebounds - Defensive 38.8 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 13.8
Turnovers 14.6 15.6
Blocked Shots 6.3 3.8
Steals 9.0 9.0
Fouls 19.3 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSW HOU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with GSW HOU
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 24.2%
Player Fouled 17.7% 18.8%
Turnover 14.2% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 8.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken GSW HOU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 26.2%