Golden State at Miami: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Mar 25, 2025 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Golden State by 5, Total Points: 208

Matchup Menu: GS @ MIA

More Games From Mar 25, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 208.0 Official TR Pick 51% odds to go under
Under 208.0 Decision Tree 51% odds to go under
Under 208.0 Similar Games 50% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record GS MIA
Season 48-47-0 48-40-0
vs Division 11-5-0 9-8-0
vs Conference 33-32-0 33-25-0
Streak Ov 2 Ov 1
Last 5 3-2-0 4-1-0
Last 10 6-4-0 8-2-0
Home 24-23-0 26-17-0
Away 24-24-0 22-23-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Golden State Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/23 Away Portland 222.0 140-104 Over +22.0
10/25 Away Utah 234.5 127-86 Under -21.5
10/27 Home LA Clippers 221.5 104-112 Under -5.5
10/29 Home New Orleans 217.5 124-106 Over +12.5
10/30 Home New Orleans 219.0 104-89 Under -26.0
11/02 Away Houston 215.5 127-121 Over +32.5
11/04 Away Washington 233.5 125-112 Over +3.5
11/06 Away Boston 228.5 118-112 Over +1.5
11/08 Away Cleveland 229.5 117-136 Over +23.5
11/10 Away Okla City 227.5 127-116 Over +15.5
11/12 Home Dallas 235.0 120-117 Over +2.0
11/15 Home Memphis 237.0 123-118 Over +4.0
11/18 Away LA Clippers 225.5 99-102 Under -24.5
11/20 Home Atlanta 240.0 120-97 Under -23.0
11/22 Away New Orleans 222.0 112-108 Under -2.0
11/23 Away San Antonio 229.5 94-104 Under -31.5
11/25 Home Brooklyn 224.5 120-128 Over +23.5
11/27 Home Okla City 225.0 101-105 Under -19.0
11/30 Away Phoenix 234.5 105-113 Under -16.5
12/03 Away Denver 236.5 115-119 Under -2.5
12/05 Home Houston 219.0 99-93 Under -27.0
12/06 Home Minnesota 219.5 90-107 Under -22.5
12/08 Home Minnesota 215.5 114-106 Over +4.5
12/11 Away Houston 221.0 90-91 Under -40.0
12/15 Home Dallas 228.5 133-143 Over +47.5
12/19 Away Memphis 238.5 93-144 Under -1.5
12/21 Away Minnesota 217.5 113-103 Under -1.5
12/23 Home Indiana 230.5 105-111 Under -14.5
12/25 Home LA Lakers 220.0 113-115 Over +8.0
12/27 Away LA Clippers 212.5 92-102 Under -18.5
12/28 Home Phoenix 220.5 109-105 Under -6.5
12/30 Home Cleveland 232.0 95-113 Under -24.0
01/02 Home Philadelphia 220.0 139-105 Over +24.0
01/04 Home Memphis 230.0 121-113 Over +4.0
01/05 Home Sacramento 225.0 99-129 Over +3.0
01/07 Home Miami 217.0 98-114 Under -5.0
01/09 Away Detroit 222.0 107-104 Under -11.0
01/10 Away Indiana 223.0 96-108 Under -19.0
01/13 Away Toronto 229.5 101-104 Under -24.5
01/15 Away Minnesota 217.0 116-115 Over +14.0
01/18 Home Washington 232.0 122-114 Over +4.0
01/20 Home Boston 225.5 85-125 Under -15.5
01/22 Away Sacramento 232.0 117-123 Over +8.0
01/23 Home Chicago 232.5 131-106 Over +4.5
01/25 Home LA Lakers 219.5 108-118 Over +6.5
01/28 Home Utah 220.0 114-103 Under -3.0
01/29 Home Okla City 224.0 116-109 Over +1.0
01/31 Home Phoenix 228.5 105-130 Over +6.5
02/03 Home Orlando 209.0 104-99 Under -6.0
02/05 Away Utah 222.0 128-131 Over +37.0
02/06 Away LA Lakers 226.5 112-120 Over +5.5
02/08 Away Chicago 240.5 132-111 Over +2.5
02/10 Away Milwaukee 230.0 125-111 Over +6.0
02/12 Away Dallas 235.0 107-111 Under -17.0
02/13 Away Houston 226.0 105-98 Under -23.0
02/21 Away Sacramento 237.0 132-108 Over +3.0
02/23 Home Dallas 229.5 126-102 Under -1.5
02/25 Home Charlotte 217.5 128-92 Over +2.5
02/27 Away Orlando 212.5 121-115 Over +23.5
03/01 Away Philadelphia 228.5 119-126 Over +16.5
03/03 Away Charlotte 229.5 119-101 Under -9.5
03/04 Away New York 227.0 114-102 Under -11.0
03/06 Away Brooklyn 224.0 121-119 Over +16.0
03/08 Home Detroit 236.5 115-110 Under -11.5
03/10 Home Portland 236.5 130-120 Over +13.5
03/13 Home Sacramento 233.0 130-104 Over +1.0
03/15 Home New York 228.0 97-94 Under -37.0
03/17 Home Denver 233.0 105-114 Under -14.0
03/18 Home Milwaukee 225.0 104-93 Under -28.0
03/20 Home Toronto 224.5 117-114 Over +6.5
03/22 Away Atlanta 234.0 115-124 Over +5.0
03/25 Away Miami 208.0 86-112 Under -10.0
03/28 Away New Orleans 226.5 111-95 Under -20.5
03/30 Away San Antonio 231.5 148-106 Over +22.5
04/01 Away Memphis 239.0 134-125 Over +20.0
04/03 Away LA Lakers 230.5 123-116 Over +8.5
04/04 Home Denver 237.0 118-104 Under -15.0
04/06 Home Houston 226.0 96-106 Under -24.0
04/08 Away Phoenix 227.5 133-95 Over +0.5
04/09 Home San Antonio 234.0 111-114 Under -9.0
04/11 Away Portland 222.0 103-86 Under -33.0
04/13 Home LA Clippers 218.5 119-124 Over +24.5
04/15 Home Memphis 226.5 121-116 Over +10.5
04/20 Away Houston 213.0 95-85 Under -33.0
04/23 Away Houston 204.5 94-109 Under -1.5
04/26 Home Houston 205.0 104-93 Under -8.0
04/28 Home Houston 203.5 109-106 Over +11.5
04/30 Away Houston 202.5 116-131 Over +44.5
05/02 Home Houston 208.0 107-115 Over +14.0
05/04 Away Houston 205.5 103-89 Under -13.5
05/06 Away Minnesota 210.0 99-88 Under -23.0
05/08 Away Minnesota 202.0 93-117 Over +8.0
05/10 Home Minnesota 201.5 97-102 Under -2.5
05/12 Home Minnesota 201.5 110-117 Over +25.5
05/14 Away Minnesota 203.0 110-121 Over +28.0

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/23 Home Orlando 208.0 97-116 Over +5.0
10/26 Away Charlotte 223.5 114-106 Under -3.5
10/28 Home Detroit 220.0 106-98 Under -16.0
10/30 Home New York 215.0 107-116 Over +8.0
11/02 Neutral Washington 224.0 118-98 Under -8.0
11/04 Home Sacramento 225.0 110-111 Under -4.0
11/06 Away Phoenix 222.5 112-115 Over +4.5
11/08 Away Denver 221.5 122-135 Over +35.5
11/10 Away Minnesota 219.0 95-94 Under -30.0
11/12 Away Detroit 214.0 121-123 Over +30.0
11/15 Away Indiana 228.5 124-111 Over +6.5
11/17 Away Indiana 228.0 110-119 Over +1.0
11/18 Home Philadelphia 212.0 106-89 Under -17.0
11/24 Home Dallas 221.0 123-118 Over +20.0
11/26 Home Milwaukee 222.5 103-106 Under -13.5
11/27 Away Charlotte 218.5 98-94 Under -26.5
11/29 Home Toronto 219.0 121-111 Over +13.0
12/01 Away Toronto 221.5 116-119 Over +13.5
12/02 Away Boston 220.5 89-108 Under -23.5
12/04 Home LA Lakers 217.5 134-93 Over +9.5
12/07 Home Phoenix 224.0 121-111 Over +8.0
12/08 Home Cleveland 223.5 122-113 Over +11.5
12/12 Home Toronto 224.5 114-104 Under -6.5
12/16 Away Detroit 219.5 124-125 Over +29.5
12/20 Home Okla City 217.5 97-104 Under -16.5
12/21 Away Orlando 205.5 114-121 Over +29.5
12/23 Home Brooklyn 210.5 110-95 Under -5.5
12/26 Away Orlando 208.5 89-88 Under -31.5
12/28 Away Atlanta 227.0 110-120 Over +3.0
12/29 Away Houston 215.0 104-100 Under -11.0
01/01 Home New Orleans 220.0 119-108 Over +7.0
01/02 Home Indiana 225.5 115-128 Over +17.5
01/04 Home Utah 225.0 100-136 Over +11.0
01/06 Away Sacramento 218.0 118-123 Over +23.0
01/07 Away Golden State 217.0 114-98 Under -5.0
01/09 Away Utah 222.0 97-92 Under -33.0
01/11 Away Portland 219.5 119-98 Under -2.5
01/13 Away LA Clippers 216.0 98-109 Under -9.0
01/15 Away LA Lakers 215.0 108-117 Over +10.0
01/17 Home Denver 229.0 113-133 Over +17.0
01/19 Home San Antonio 220.0 128-107 Over +15.0
01/21 Home Portland 218.5 107-116 Over +4.5
01/23 Away Milwaukee 224.0 96-125 Under -3.0
01/25 Away Brooklyn 211.0 106-97 Under -8.0
01/27 Home Orlando 205.5 125-119 Over +38.5
01/29 Home Cleveland 225.0 106-126 Over +7.0
02/01 Away San Antonio 224.0 105-103 Under -16.0
02/04 Away Chicago 228.5 124-133 Over +28.5
02/05 Away Philadelphia 220.0 108-101 Under -11.0
02/07 Away Brooklyn 209.0 86-102 Under -21.0
02/10 Home Boston 211.5 85-103 Under -23.5
02/12 Away Okla City 222.0 101-115 Under -6.0
02/13 Away Dallas 218.5 113-118 Over +12.5
02/21 Away Toronto 219.5 120-111 Over +11.5
02/23 Away Milwaukee 221.0 113-120 Over +12.0
02/24 Away Atlanta 232.0 86-98 Under -48.0
02/26 Home Atlanta 229.5 131-109 Over +10.5
02/28 Home Indiana 223.5 125-120 Over +21.5
03/02 Home New York 220.0 112-116 Over +8.0
03/03 Home Washington 217.5 106-90 Under -21.5
03/05 Away Cleveland 220.0 107-112 Under -1.0
03/07 Home Minnesota 218.0 104-106 Under -8.0
03/08 Home Chicago 225.5 109-114 Under -2.5
03/10 Home Charlotte 217.0 102-105 Under -10.0
03/12 Home LA Clippers 206.5 104-119 Over +16.5
03/14 Home Boston 212.0 91-103 Under -18.0
03/15 Away Memphis 224.5 91-125 Under -8.5
03/17 Away New York 209.5 95-116 Over +1.5
03/19 Home Detroit 216.0 113-116 Over +13.0
03/21 Home Houston 212.5 98-102 Under -12.5
03/23 Home Charlotte 214.5 122-105 Over +12.5
03/25 Home Golden State 208.0 112-86 Under -10.0
03/27 Home Atlanta 224.5 122-112 Over +9.5
03/29 Away Philadelphia 215.0 118-95 Under -2.0
03/31 Away Washington 215.0 120-94 Under -1.0
04/02 Away Boston 211.0 124-103 Over +16.0
04/03 Home Memphis 226.5 108-110 Under -8.5
04/05 Home Milwaukee 209.5 115-121 Over +26.5
04/07 Home Philadelphia 217.0 117-105 Over +5.0
04/09 Away Chicago 227.5 111-119 Over +2.5
04/11 Away New Orleans 215.0 153-104 Over +42.0
04/13 Home Washington 215.5 118-119 Over +21.5
04/16 Away Chicago 220.0 109-90 Under -21.0
04/18 Away Atlanta 221.0 123-114 Over +16.0
04/20 Away Cleveland 216.0 100-121 Over +5.0
04/23 Away Cleveland 213.0 112-121 Over +20.0
04/26 Home Cleveland 212.0 87-124 Under -1.0
04/28 Home Cleveland 211.5 83-138 Over +9.5