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Tuesday Mar 25, 2025 7:30 pm -
Miami, FL
Odds:
Golden State by 5,
Total Points:
208
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Miami +4.5 | Official TR Pick | Miami 50% odds to cover |
| Miami +4.5 | Power Rating Model | Miami 62% odds to cover |
| Miami +4.5 | Decision Tree | Miami 50% odds to cover |
| Miami +4.5 | Predictive Ratings | Miami 62% odds to cover |
| Golden State -4.5 | Similar Games | Golden State 58% odds to cover |
| Record | GS | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 46-44-3 | 41-46-1 | |
| vs Division | 5-11-0 | 10-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 33-29-1 | 26-32-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 20-25-1 | 21-22-0 | |
| Away | 26-19-2 | 20-24-1 |
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/23 | Away | Portland | -7.5 | W by 36 | +28.5 |
| 10/25 | Away | Utah | -6.5 | W by 41 | +34.5 |
| 10/27 | Home | LA Clippers | -9.0 | L by 8 | -17.0 |
| 10/29 | Home | New Orleans | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 10/30 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 11/02 | Away | Houston | +5.0 | W by 6 | +11.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Washington | -11.0 | W by 13 | +2.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Boston | +7.0 | W by 6 | +13.0 |
| 11/08 | Away | Cleveland | +3.5 | L by 19 | -15.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Okla City | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Dallas | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Memphis | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | LA Clippers | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | Atlanta | -7.0 | W by 23 | +16.0 |
| 11/22 | Away | New Orleans | -10.5 | W by 4 | -6.5 |
| 11/23 | Away | San Antonio | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Brooklyn | -13.0 | L by 8 | -21.0 |
| 11/27 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | Phoenix | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Denver | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Houston | +4.0 | W by 6 | +10.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 17 | -15.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | Minnesota | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Houston | +3.5 | L by 1 | +2.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Dallas | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Memphis | +2.0 | L by 51 | -49.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Minnesota | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Indiana | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | LA Lakers | -4.0 | L by 2 | -6.0 |
| 12/27 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.5 | L by 10 | -4.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | Phoenix | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Cleveland | +4.0 | L by 18 | -14.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Philadelphia | -4.0 | W by 34 | +30.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | Memphis | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Sacramento | -3.0 | L by 30 | -33.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Miami | -9.0 | L by 16 | -25.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | Detroit | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Indiana | +10.5 | L by 12 | -1.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Toronto | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Minnesota | +7.0 | W by 1 | +8.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Washington | -13.5 | W by 8 | -5.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Boston | +9.0 | L by 40 | -31.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | Sacramento | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Chicago | -4.0 | W by 25 | +21.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | LA Lakers | +1.0 | L by 10 | -9.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Utah | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Okla City | +9.5 | W by 7 | +16.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Phoenix | +1.0 | L by 25 | -24.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Orlando | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | Utah | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Chicago | -6.5 | W by 21 | +14.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Milwaukee | -7.0 | W by 14 | +7.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Dallas | -7.5 | L by 4 | -11.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Houston | -1.5 | W by 7 | +5.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Sacramento | -2.0 | W by 24 | +22.0 |
| 02/23 | Home | Dallas | -9.0 | W by 24 | +15.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Charlotte | -17.5 | W by 36 | +18.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Orlando | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Philadelphia | -6.5 | L by 7 | -13.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | Charlotte | -13.0 | W by 18 | +5.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | New York | +1.0 | W by 12 | +13.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | Brooklyn | -11.0 | W by 2 | -9.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Detroit | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Portland | -12.0 | W by 10 | -2.0 |
| 03/13 | Home | Sacramento | -7.5 | W by 26 | +18.5 |
| 03/15 | Home | New York | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 03/17 | Home | Denver | -11.5 | L by 9 | -20.5 |
| 03/18 | Home | Milwaukee | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | Toronto | -14.5 | W by 3 | -11.5 |
| 03/22 | Away | Atlanta | -2.5 | L by 9 | -11.5 |
| 03/25 | Away | Miami | -5.0 | L by 26 | -31.0 |
| 03/28 | Away | New Orleans | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 03/30 | Away | San Antonio | -11.5 | W by 42 | +30.5 |
| 04/01 | Away | Memphis | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 04/03 | Away | LA Lakers | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 04/04 | Home | Denver | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 04/06 | Home | Houston | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 04/08 | Away | Phoenix | -10.0 | W by 38 | +28.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | San Antonio | -17.5 | L by 3 | -20.5 |
| 04/11 | Away | Portland | -15.5 | W by 17 | +1.5 |
| 04/13 | Home | LA Clippers | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 04/15 | Home | Memphis | -6.5 | W by 5 | -1.5 |
| 04/20 | Away | Houston | +2.0 | W by 10 | +12.0 |
| 04/23 | Away | Houston | +4.0 | L by 15 | -11.0 |
| 04/26 | Home | Houston | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 04/28 | Home | Houston | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 04/30 | Away | Houston | +4.0 | L by 15 | -11.0 |
| 05/02 | Home | Houston | -5.5 | L by 8 | -13.5 |
| 05/04 | Away | Houston | +2.5 | W by 14 | +16.5 |
| 05/06 | Away | Minnesota | +6.0 | W by 11 | +17.0 |
| 05/08 | Away | Minnesota | +11.0 | L by 24 | -13.0 |
| 05/10 | Home | Minnesota | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/23 | Home | Orlando | -2.0 | L by 19 | -21.0 |
| 10/26 | Away | Charlotte | -6.0 | W by 8 | +2.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Detroit | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 10/30 | Home | New York | +2.0 | L by 9 | -7.0 |
| 11/02 | Neutral | Washington | -9.5 | W by 20 | +10.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Sacramento | -1.0 | L by 1 | -2.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Phoenix | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/08 | Away | Denver | +3.0 | L by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Minnesota | +7.5 | W by 1 | +8.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Detroit | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Indiana | +4.5 | W by 13 | +17.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Indiana | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Dallas | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Milwaukee | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 11/27 | Away | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Toronto | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Toronto | -4.5 | L by 3 | -7.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Boston | +9.5 | L by 19 | -9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | LA Lakers | -3.5 | W by 41 | +37.5 |
| 12/07 | Home | Phoenix | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | Cleveland | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Toronto | -10.5 | W by 10 | -0.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Detroit | -4.5 | L by 1 | -5.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Okla City | +1.0 | L by 7 | -6.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Orlando | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Brooklyn | -9.5 | W by 15 | +5.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Orlando | +1.0 | W by 1 | +2.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Atlanta | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Houston | +8.5 | W by 4 | +12.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | New Orleans | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Indiana | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | L by 36 | -45.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Sacramento | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Golden State | +9.0 | W by 16 | +25.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | Utah | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Portland | -4.5 | W by 21 | +16.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | LA Clippers | +8.5 | L by 11 | -2.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | LA Lakers | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Denver | +3.0 | L by 20 | -17.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | San Antonio | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Portland | -9.0 | L by 9 | -18.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Milwaukee | +6.0 | L by 29 | -23.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | Brooklyn | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Orlando | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | Cleveland | +6.0 | L by 20 | -14.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | San Antonio | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Chicago | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Brooklyn | -5.0 | L by 16 | -21.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Boston | +8.0 | L by 18 | -10.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Okla City | +14.0 | L by 14 | 0.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Dallas | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Toronto | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | Milwaukee | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Atlanta | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 02/26 | Home | Atlanta | -3.0 | W by 22 | +19.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Indiana | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | New York | +6.5 | L by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Washington | -8.0 | W by 16 | +8.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Cleveland | +13.5 | L by 5 | +8.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Minnesota | +3.5 | L by 2 | +1.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | L by 5 | -10.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Charlotte | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
| 03/12 | Home | LA Clippers | -2.0 | L by 15 | -17.0 |
| 03/14 | Home | Boston | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 03/15 | Away | Memphis | +6.0 | L by 34 | -28.0 |
| 03/17 | Away | New York | +7.0 | L by 21 | -14.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Detroit | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | Houston | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 03/23 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 17 | +9.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Golden State | +5.0 | W by 26 | +31.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Atlanta | -1.5 | W by 10 | +8.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Philadelphia | -8.0 | W by 23 | +15.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | Washington | -9.5 | W by 26 | +16.5 |
| 04/02 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | W by 21 | +31.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Memphis | +5.5 | L by 2 | +3.5 |
| 04/05 | Home | Milwaukee | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 04/07 | Home | Philadelphia | -12.5 | W by 12 | -0.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Chicago | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 04/11 | Away | New Orleans | -15.0 | W by 49 | +34.0 |
| 04/13 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 04/16 | Away | Chicago | +2.0 | W by 19 | +21.0 |
| 04/18 | Away | Atlanta | -2.0 | W by 9 | +7.0 |
| 04/20 | Away | Cleveland | +12.5 | L by 21 | -8.5 |
| 04/23 | Away | Cleveland | +12.0 | L by 9 | +3.0 |
| 04/26 | Home | Cleveland | +5.0 | L by 37 | -32.0 |
| 04/28 | Home | Cleveland | +8.0 | L by 55 | -47.0 |
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