Golden State at Miami: Recap

Tuesday Mar 25, 2025 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Golden State by 5, Total Points: 208

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Golden State GS 61.9%
MIA 38.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA +4.5 GS 49.6%
MIA 50.4%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 208.0 Over 49.3%
Under 50.7%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off GS -3.0%
MIA -1.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
GS 106.1 106.2 86
MIA 101.7 101.8 112

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat GS MIA
Points/Game 115.5 119.6
Avg Score Margin +1.8 +2.4
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 12.8 17.8
Pts in Paint/Gm 43.4 54.0
Assists/Game 28.9 28.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 51.0 55.7
Effective FG % 55.3% 53.3%
Off Rebound % 24.8% 25.3%
FTA/FGA 0.242 0.264
Turnover % 13.6% 11.8%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat GS MIA
Opp Points/Game 113.7 117.2
Opp Effective FG % 54.2% 53.2%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 50.2 52.2
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.9 12.0
Def Rebounds/Gm 31.6 34.8
Blocks/Game 4.4 4.2
Steals/Game 10.0 9.3
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.9 19.1