Golden State at Miami: Recap

Thursday Jan 2, 2014 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 5.5, Total Points: 205

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami GS 35.5%
MIA 64.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -5.0 GS 49.8%
MIA 50.2%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 205.5 Over 47.7%
Under 52.3%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
GS +185 GS +0.4%
MIA -2.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
GS 99.7 100.2 123
MIA 104.8 105.2 114

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat GS MIA
Points/Game 117.5 110.1
Avg Score Margin +2.3 +1.7
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 12.4 12.8
Pts in Paint/Gm 48.5 47.2
Assists/Game 29.2 25.8
Total Rebounds/Gm 54.8 49.8
Effective FG % 55.6% 53.7%
Off Rebound % 27.4% 22.0%
FTA/FGA 0.219 0.257
Turnover % 12.4% 11.6%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat GS MIA
Opp Points/Game 115.2 108.3
Opp Effective FG % 53.9% 54.2%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 49.6 46.3
Off Rebounds/Gm 12.1 9.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.6 32.9
Blocks/Game 4.6 3.4
Steals/Game 7.0 7.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.5 17.3