Portland at Sacramento: Box Score Simulation

Monday Oct 28, 2024 10:00 pm - Sacramento, CA
Odds: Sacramento by 13, Total Points: 231

Matchup Menu: POR @ SAC

More Games From Oct 28, 2024

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR SAC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting POR SAC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 91.1 90.2
Field Goal % 47.8% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 51.0 61.6
2 Point Shooting % 61.5% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 40.2 28.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 34.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 31.0 26.8
Free Throw % 79.8% 74.1%
Ball Control POR SAC
Rebounds 56.2 44.7
Rebounds - Defensive 38.4 33.0
Rebounds - Offensive 17.7 11.7
Turnovers 14.1 12.7
Blocked Shots 6.0 5.3
Steals 7.1 9.4
Fouls 19.3 20.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR SAC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with POR SAC
2 Point Attempt 40.3% 51.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 23.8%
Player Fouled 19.3% 18.1%
Turnover 13.3% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR SAC
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 35.0% 23.4%