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Minnesota at San Antonio: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Nov 27, 2019 8:30 pm - San Antonio, TX
Odds: San Antonio by 3, Total Points: 229.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN SA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MIN SA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 92.1 89.5
Field Goal % 43.9% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 52.9 64.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 39.3 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 38.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 27.1
Free Throw % 74.8% 81.5%
Ball Control MIN SA
Rebounds 48.8 53.7
Rebounds - Defensive 37.6 43.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 10.5
Turnovers 12.8 12.6
Blocked Shots 5.1 6.4
Steals 7.2 7.1
Fouls 18.8 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN SA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MIN SA
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 53.9%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 20.9%
Player Fouled 16.5% 17.5%
Turnover 12.0% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN SA
Shot Blocked 7.3% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 21.9%