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Minnesota at Utah

  Saturday Jan 21, 2012 - 9:00 pm - Salt Lake City, UT | Odds: Utah by 7, Total Points: 190.5 | Team Pages: MIN | UTA

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN UTA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting MIN UTA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 79.4 81.2
Field Goal % 42.3% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 65.5 58.2
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 13.9 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 36.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.3 22.4
Free Throw % 78.2% 71.5%

Ball Control MIN UTA
Rebounds 41.7 51.2
Rebounds - Defensive 29.9 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 14.9
Turnovers 13.2 14.5
Blocked Shots 3.7 6.7
Steals 7.6 7.9
Fouls 16.5 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN UTA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with MIN UTA
2 Point Attempt 59.7% 52.2%
3 Point Attempt 12.7% 20.6%
Player Fouled 19.4% 17.3%
Turnover 13.8% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.0%

Odds Per Shot Taken MIN UTA
Shot Blocked 8.4% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 33.3%