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Minnesota at Memphis : Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 8, 2012 8:00 pm - Memphis, TN
Odds: Memphis by 7.5, Total Points: 190

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN MEM
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MIN MEM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 74.9 84.3
Field Goal % 49.4% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 56.9 64.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 33.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 30.3 23.7
Free Throw % 79.4% 77.0%
Ball Control MIN MEM
Rebounds 45.0 43.9
Rebounds - Defensive 34.3 30.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 13.4
Turnovers 15.5 12.7
Blocked Shots 4.8 5.0
Steals 6.7 8.0
Fouls 18.6 21.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN MEM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MIN MEM
2 Point Attempt 51.5% 57.4%
3 Point Attempt 16.3% 17.2%
Player Fouled 21.5% 19.0%
Turnover 15.8% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN MEM
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 28.1%