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Okla City at Miami: Recap

Saturday Jan 17, 2026 8:00 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Oklahoma City by 11.5, Total Points: 234.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Okla City OKC 85.1%
MIA 14.9%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
OKC -10.5 OKC 52.9%
MIA 47.1%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 234.5 Over 48.4%
Under 51.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
OKC -500 OKC +1.8%
MIA -6.2%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
OKC 122.4 122.5 120
MIA 111.2 112.0 122

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat OKC MIA
Points/Game 118.5 120.9
Avg Score Margin +10.5 +2.3
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 13.6 18.4
Pts in Paint/Gm 48.5 54.7
Assists/Game 25.8 29.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 51.8 55.0
Effective FG % 55.9% 54.2%
Off Rebound % 23.0% 25.3%
FTA/FGA 0.260 0.266
Turnover % 11.2% 11.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat OKC MIA
Opp Points/Game 108.0 118.6
Opp Effective FG % 51.9% 54.0%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 41.8 52.0
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.8 11.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 33.9 34.5
Blocks/Game 5.3 4.3
Steals/Game 9.8 8.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.4 18.7