Phoenix at New Orleans : Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 1, 2012 8:00 pm - New Orleans, LA
Odds: New Orleans by 1.5, Total Points: 183.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHX NOH
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PHX NOH
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 88.6 85.3
Field Goal % 47.0% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 57.9 59.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 30.6 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 36.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 31.6
Free Throw % 78.4% 77.2%
Ball Control PHX NOH
Rebounds 44.1 52.0
Rebounds - Defensive 33.9 39.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 13.0
Turnovers 14.2 14.6
Blocked Shots 5.8 4.9
Steals 9.1 8.4
Fouls 22.7 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHX NOH
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PHX NOH
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 21.4%
Player Fouled 18.0% 21.5%
Turnover 13.4% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHX NOH
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 27.7%