Phoenix at Chicago: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 22, 2020 8:00 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: Phoenix by 3, Total Points: 222

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO CHI
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PHO CHI
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 84.4 92.2
Field Goal % 49.4% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 48.1 57.4
2 Point Shooting % 58.2% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 36.3 34.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 35.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 21.1
Free Throw % 79.6% 80.1%
Ball Control PHO CHI
Rebounds 51.6 46.4
Rebounds - Defensive 40.1 33.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 12.7
Turnovers 13.9 9.9
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.4
Steals 5.8 7.9
Fouls 16.3 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO CHI
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PHO CHI
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 29.9%
Player Fouled 17.7% 16.1%
Turnover 13.8% 9.8%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO CHI
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 24.1%