San Antonio at Boston: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Mar 26, 2023 6:00 pm - Boston, MA
Odds: Boston by 16.5, Total Points: 231.5

Matchup Menu: SA @ BOS

More Games From Mar 26, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA BOS
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SA BOS
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 94.4 93.6
Field Goal % 43.2% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 56.2 53.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 38.2 40.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 38.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 18.3
Free Throw % 77.6% 79.1%
Ball Control SA BOS
Rebounds 50.9 53.8
Rebounds - Defensive 38.0 42.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 11.8
Turnovers 12.1 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.7 5.9
Steals 5.2 7.4
Fouls 13.8 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA BOS
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SA BOS
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 34.6%
Player Fouled 13.4% 13.5%
Turnover 11.8% 10.2%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA BOS
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 23.7%