Houston at Washington: Box Score Simulation

Monday Jan 16, 2012 2:00 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: Houston by 5.5, Total Points: 192.5

Matchup Menu: HOU @ WAS

More Games From Jan 16, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU WAS
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting HOU WAS
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 93.2 89.5
Field Goal % 48.5% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 58.9 53.9
2 Point Shooting % 56.8% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 34.2 35.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 33.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.3 24.1
Free Throw % 76.8% 76.8%
Ball Control HOU WAS
Rebounds 54.3 46.8
Rebounds - Defensive 39.7 36.6
Rebounds - Offensive 14.6 10.2
Turnovers 11.4 13.0
Blocked Shots 5.6 5.3
Steals 7.6 6.5
Fouls 18.2 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU WAS
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with HOU WAS
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 30.1%
Player Fouled 17.9% 17.2%
Turnover 10.7% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU WAS
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 20.4%