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The chart above graphs odds data from Pinnacle Sports
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2006-2007 NBA season there have been 458 games with over/under lines between 202.5 and 204.5. In these games:
- Games have gone over the line 217 times (47.4%)
- Games have gone under the line 235 times (51.3%)
- Games have pushed the line 6 times (1.3%)
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2008-2009 NBA season there have been 445 games where the closing over/under line moved 0.5 points lower than the opening over/under line.
In these games, the under performed better, going 238-198-9 (54.6%). Game totals went under the line by an average of 13.6 points.