Houston at Denver: Recap

Wednesday Mar 11, 2026 10:00 pm - Denver, CO
Odds: Denver by 6.5, Total Points: 231.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Denver HOU 29.0%
DEN 71.0%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
DEN -6.5 HOU 48.8%
DEN 51.2%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 231.5 Over 47.4%
Under 52.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off HOU -4.3%
DEN -0.4%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
HOU 111.6 112.5 93
DEN 118.3 119.0 129

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat HOU DEN
Points/Game 114.1 120.6
Avg Score Margin +4.2 +4.1
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 13.8 14.6
Pts in Paint/Gm 52.4 49.0
Assists/Game 24.7 28.1
Total Rebounds/Gm 58.6 52.5
Effective FG % 53.7% 57.2%
Off Rebound % 35.1% 23.6%
FTA/FGA 0.262 0.304
Turnover % 13.4% 11.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat HOU DEN
Opp Points/Game 109.9 116.5
Opp Effective FG % 52.9% 54.4%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 48.6 50.2
Off Rebounds/Gm 15.2 9.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 33.0 33.6
Blocks/Game 5.9 4.0
Steals/Game 8.7 6.9
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.6 18.9