Houston at Miami: Point Spread Analysis

Sunday Apr 22, 2012 6:00 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 5, Total Points: 190.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Houston +5.0 Official TR Pick Houston 50% odds to cover
Houston +5.0 Decision Tree Houston 58% odds to cover
Houston +5.0 Similar Games Houston 59% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record HOU adv MIA
Season 45-35-2 41-40-2
vs Division 7-8-1 9-6-1
vs Conference 30-20-2 27-24-2
Streak W2 W1
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 4-6-0 6-3-1
Home 27-13-1 16-25-0
Away 18-22-1 25-15-2

Houston Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/25 Away Orlando +4.5 L by 30 -25.5
10/27 Away San Antonio +3.5 L by 4 -0.5
10/29 Home Golden State +7.0 L by 11 -4.0
11/01 Home Charlotte -3.0 W by 9 +6.0
11/04 Home Sacramento +2.5 W by 18 +20.5
11/06 Home Sacramento +2.0 W by 25 +27.0
11/08 Home LA Lakers +2.0 W by 34 +36.0
11/10 Home New Orleans -3.0 W by 3 0.0
11/12 Home Denver +5.0 W by 3 +8.0
11/17 Away LA Clippers +7.5 L by 6 +1.5
11/19 Away LA Lakers +6.0 L by 1 +5.0
11/20 Away Golden State +7.0 L by 5 +2.0
11/22 Home Memphis -5.0 W by 20 +15.0
11/24 Home Denver +3.0 W by 19 +22.0
11/28 Away Dallas +4.0 L by 6 -2.0
11/29 Away Denver +10.0 L by 10 0.0
12/02 Away LA Lakers +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
12/06 Home Okla City +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
12/08 Away Denver +9.0 W by 8 +17.0
12/11 Home San Antonio -9.0 W by 11 +2.0
12/13 Home Memphis -10.0 W by 13 +3.0
12/15 Away Memphis -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
12/17 Away Milwaukee +7.0 L by 9 -2.0
12/18 Away Cleveland +4.0 L by 5 -1.0
12/20 Home Atlanta -3.0 L by 7 -10.0
12/22 Home Dallas -8.5 W by 26 +17.5
12/23 Away New Orleans +7.5 W by 2 +9.5
12/26 Home Indiana -3.0 L by 6 -9.0
12/27 Home Phoenix +3.0 L by 16 -13.0
12/29 Home Philadelphia +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
01/01 Home Detroit -9.5 W by 23 +13.5
01/03 Home Brooklyn -4.0 W by 11 +7.0
01/05 Home Minnesota +4.0 L by 27 -23.0
01/06 Home Milwaukee +7.0 W by 4 +11.0
01/08 Away Miami +4.0 L by 7 -3.0
01/10 Away Chicago +4.0 L by 5 -1.0
01/12 Away Detroit -9.0 W by 2 -7.0
01/13 Away Boston +15.0 L by 32 -17.0
01/15 Away Philadelphia +8.5 L by 9 -0.5
01/17 Away New York +7.5 L by 15 -7.5
01/20 Home Utah -2.0 W by 1 -1.0
01/21 Home Boston +11.0 L by 9 +2.0
01/24 Home Portland -10.0 L by 6 -16.0
01/26 Away Charlotte -5.0 W by 34 +29.0
01/27 Away Brooklyn +4.0 L by 2 +2.0
01/29 Home LA Lakers +1.0 W by 16 +17.0
01/31 Home New Orleans -1.5 L by 11 -12.5
02/02 Home Toronto -4.5 W by 29 +24.5
02/04 Away Minnesota +7.5 L by 21 -13.5
02/06 Away Indiana +8.0 L by 3 +5.0
02/09 Away Toronto +2.5 L by 3 -0.5
02/10 Away Atlanta +7.0 L by 9 -2.0
02/12 Home New York -1.0 W by 2 +1.0
02/14 Away Memphis -2.0 L by 8 -10.0
02/22 Away New Orleans +6.5 L by 22 -15.5
02/23 Home Phoenix +2.5 W by 4 +6.5
02/25 Home Okla City +6.5 L by 13 -6.5
02/27 Away Okla City +10.0 L by 17 -7.0
02/29 Away Phoenix +8.5 L by 5 +3.5
03/02 Away Phoenix +9.0 W by 9 +18.0
03/05 Home San Antonio -7.0 W by 13 +6.0
03/06 Home LA Clippers +6.5 L by 6 +0.5
03/08 Away Portland -6.5 W by 16 +9.5
03/10 Away Sacramento +6.5 W by 8 +14.5
03/12 Away San Antonio -3.0 W by 2 -1.0
03/14 Home Washington -8.5 W by 16 +7.5
03/16 Home Cleveland +5.0 W by 14 +19.0
03/19 Away Washington -10.0 W by 23 +13.0
03/21 Home Chicago -4.0 W by 10 +6.0
03/23 Home Utah -10.5 W by 28 +17.5
03/25 Home Portland -14.5 W by 18 +3.5
03/27 Away Okla City +4.5 W by 6 +10.5
03/29 Away Utah -8.0 W by 1 -7.0
03/31 Home Dallas +4.0 L by 18 -14.0
04/02 Away Minnesota +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
04/04 Home Golden State +3.0 L by 23 -20.0
04/05 Home Miami +3.0 L by 15 -12.0
04/07 Away Dallas +9.0 L by 11 -2.0
04/09 Home Orlando +2.5 W by 12 +14.5
04/11 Away Utah -11.0 L by 3 -14.0
04/12 Away Portland -6.0 W by 9 +3.0
04/14 Away LA Clippers -4.5 W by 11 +6.5

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/25 Home Detroit -9.5 W by 1 -8.5
10/27 Away Boston +8.5 L by 8 +0.5
10/28 Away Minnesota +8.5 L by 16 -7.5
10/30 Away Milwaukee +7.5 L by 8 -0.5
11/01 Home Brooklyn -7.0 L by 4 -11.0
11/03 Home Washington -8.5 W by 7 -1.5
11/06 Home LA Lakers -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
11/08 Away Memphis -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
11/11 Away Atlanta +7.5 W by 8 +15.5
11/12 Away San Antonio -2.0 W by 5 +3.0
11/14 Away Charlotte -6.5 W by 6 -0.5
11/16 Home Brooklyn -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
11/18 Away Chicago -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
11/20 Away Chicago -1.5 W by 18 +16.5
11/22 Away Cleveland +1.5 W by 33 +34.5
11/24 Away New York +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
11/25 Away Brooklyn +7.5 L by 15 -7.5
11/28 Home Milwaukee +4.0 L by 7 -3.0
11/30 Home Indiana -4.0 W by 10 +6.0
12/02 Home Indiana -4.5 L by 15 -19.5
12/06 Away Toronto +4.0 W by 9 +13.0
12/08 Home Cleveland +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
12/11 Away Charlotte -4.5 W by 2 -2.5
12/13 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 11 +3.5
12/14 Home Chicago -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
12/16 Home Chicago -4.5 W by 2 -2.5
12/18 Home Minnesota +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
12/20 Away Orlando +5.5 W by 9 +14.5
12/22 Home Atlanta -1.0 W by 9 +8.0
12/25 Home Philadelphia -2.0 W by 6 +4.0
12/28 Away Golden State +6.5 W by 12 +18.5
12/30 Away Utah -3.0 L by 8 -11.0
01/01 Away LA Clippers +8.0 L by 17 -9.0
01/03 Away LA Lakers +5.0 W by 14 +19.0
01/05 Away Phoenix +2.5 L by 16 -13.5
01/08 Home Houston -4.0 W by 7 +3.0
01/10 Home Okla City +4.5 L by 8 -3.5
01/12 Home Orlando -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
01/14 Home Charlotte -8.5 W by 17 +8.5
01/15 Away Brooklyn -1.0 W by 1 0.0
01/17 Away Toronto -3.0 L by 24 -27.0
01/19 Home Atlanta -7.0 L by 1 -8.0
01/21 Away Orlando +1.0 L by 18 -17.0
01/24 Home Memphis -11.5 L by 9 -20.5
01/25 Home Boston +8.5 L by 33 -24.5
01/27 Away New York +4.5 L by 16 -11.5
01/29 Home Phoenix -2.0 L by 13 -15.0
01/31 Home Sacramento -2.5 W by 9 +6.5
02/02 Away Washington -7.5 W by 8 +0.5
02/04 Home LA Clippers +5.0 L by 8 -3.0
02/06 Home Orlando -3.5 W by 26 +22.5
02/07 Home San Antonio -8.0 W by 12 +4.0
02/11 Home Boston +8.0 L by 4 +4.0
02/13 Away Milwaukee +7.0 W by 26 +33.0
02/14 Away Philadelphia +2.5 W by 5 +7.5
02/23 Away New Orleans +2.0 W by 11 +13.0
02/26 Away Sacramento +7.5 W by 11 +18.5
02/27 Away Portland -6.5 W by 10 +3.5
02/29 Away Denver +6.5 L by 6 +0.5
03/02 Home Utah -9.0 W by 6 -3.0
03/05 Home Detroit -11.0 W by 8 -3.0
03/07 Away Dallas +4.5 L by 6 -1.5
03/08 Away Okla City +8.5 L by 7 +1.5
03/10 Home Washington -11.5 L by 2 -13.5
03/13 Home Denver +3.5 L by 12 -8.5
03/15 Away Detroit -7.5 W by 13 +5.5
03/17 Away Detroit -5.5 W by 3 -2.5
03/18 Away Philadelphia +3.0 L by 7 -4.0
03/20 Away Cleveland +3.0 W by 3 +6.0
03/22 Home New Orleans -3.0 L by 23 -26.0
03/24 Home Cleveland -3.5 W by 37 +33.5
03/26 Home Golden State +5.0 L by 21 -16.0
03/29 Home Portland -14.0 W by 60 +46.0
03/31 Away Washington -12.0 W by 12 0.0
04/02 Home New York -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
04/04 Home Philadelphia -3.0 L by 4 -7.0
04/05 Away Houston -3.0 W by 15 +12.0
04/07 Away Indiana +3.0 L by 2 +1.0
04/09 Away Atlanta -3.5 W by 6 +2.5
04/10 Home Dallas +2.5 L by 19 -16.5
04/12 Home Toronto -14.0 W by 22 +8.0
04/14 Home Toronto -16.0 W by 15 -1.0
04/17 Away Philadelphia +5.5 L by 1 +4.5