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Houston at Memphis: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Jan 14, 2020 8:00 pm - Memphis, TN
Odds: Houston by 4.5, Total Points: 240.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU MEM
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting HOU MEM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 87.1 90.4
Field Goal % 43.6% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.1 58.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 48.0 32.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 33.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.4 22.6
Free Throw % 80.2% 76.4%
Ball Control HOU MEM
Rebounds 47.0 55.3
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 42.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 12.7
Turnovers 13.7 16.0
Blocked Shots 5.2 5.3
Steals 9.2 7.0
Fouls 18.7 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU MEM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with HOU MEM
2 Point Attempt 33.0% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 40.5% 26.2%
Player Fouled 17.6% 17.4%
Turnover 12.7% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU MEM
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 17.6% 25.2%