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Toronto at New Orleans: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 8, 2019 8:00 pm - New Orleans, LA
Odds: Toronto by 2, Total Points: 233

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR NO
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TOR NO
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 89.9 87.2
Field Goal % 45.8% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 53.7 47.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 36.2 39.3
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 33.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 24.7
Free Throw % 77.8% 72.8%
Ball Control TOR NO
Rebounds 51.3 52.6
Rebounds - Defensive 40.8 40.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 11.8
Turnovers 13.8 17.2
Blocked Shots 5.5 5.6
Steals 8.6 6.5
Fouls 20.6 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR NO
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TOR NO
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 32.4%
Player Fouled 17.4% 19.2%
Turnover 12.9% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR NO
Shot Blocked 6.6% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 22.5%