Toronto vs. Orlando: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Aug 5, 2020 8:00 pm - Kissimmee, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Toronto by 7.5, Total Points: 222

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR ORL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TOR ORL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 85.0 86.5
Field Goal % 46.6% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 54.6 54.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 30.4 31.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 36.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 23.1
Free Throw % 75.8% 74.6%
Ball Control TOR ORL
Rebounds 43.7 50.8
Rebounds - Defensive 33.4 37.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 13.2
Turnovers 14.0 14.0
Blocked Shots 4.1 5.5
Steals 7.8 7.3
Fouls 18.3 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR ORL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TOR ORL
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 27.4%
Player Fouled 17.3% 18.0%
Turnover 13.8% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR ORL
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 28.3%