Toronto at Miami: Recap

Monday Dec 15, 2025 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 4.5, Total Points: 234.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami TOR 39.2%
MIA 60.8%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
TOR +4.5 TOR 51.6%
MIA 48.4%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 234.5 Over 48.6%
Under 51.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
TOR +155 TOR 0.0%
MIA -4.7%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
TOR 114.8 115.0 106
MIA 118.9 119.5 96

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat TOR MIA
Points/Game 113.5 119.3
Avg Score Margin +1.3 +1.0
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 19.1 17.6
Pts in Paint/Gm 52.6 54.3
Assists/Game 29.4 28.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 52.1 54.6
Effective FG % 53.3% 53.6%
Off Rebound % 26.0% 24.3%
FTA/FGA 0.248 0.259
Turnover % 12.0% 12.0%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat TOR MIA
Opp Points/Game 112.2 118.3
Opp Effective FG % 53.6% 53.7%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 47.2 52.4
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.5 11.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 31.6 34.3
Blocks/Game 4.5 4.3
Steals/Game 8.4 9.3
Personal Fouls/Gm 21.3 19.4