Saturday Jan 7, 2012 8:00 pm -
Odds: Philadelphia by 10, Total Points: 187.5
NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.
|Points From 2-Pointers||52.5||52.9|
|Points From 3-Pointers||36.0||35.8|
|Points From Free Throws||20.7||17.8|
|Field Goals Made||38.2||38.4|
|Field Goals Attempted||85.1||87.2|
|Field Goal %||44.9%||44.0%|
|2 Pointers Made||26.2||26.4|
|2 Pointers Attempted||53.3||51.8|
|2 Point Shooting %||49.3%||51.1%|
|3 Pointers Made||12.0||11.9|
|3 Pointers Attempted||31.8||35.5|
|3 Point Shooting %||37.7%||33.7%|
|Free Throws Made||20.7||17.8|
|Free Throws Attempted||25.7||23.7|
|Free Throw %||80.5%||75.3%|
|Rebounds - Defensive||39.1||39.7|
|Rebounds - Offensive||9.3||12.8|
Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.
NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.
|Effective Scoring Chances||99.4||101.8|
|% of Possessions with||TOR||PHI|
|2 Point Attempt||46.3%||44.0%|
|3 Point Attempt||27.7%||30.1%|
|Odds Per Shot Taken||TOR||PHI|
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