Detroit at Memphis : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Mar 3, 2012 8:00 pm - Memphis, TN
Odds: Memphis by 8, Total Points: 187

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET MEM
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting DET MEM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 83.8 82.1
Field Goal % 44.1% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 59.0 56.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 25.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 36.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 21.8
Free Throw % 71.7% 78.8%
Ball Control DET MEM
Rebounds 50.4 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 38.3 38.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 9.6
Turnovers 10.7 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.4
Steals 5.8 6.0
Fouls 17.5 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET MEM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with DET MEM
2 Point Attempt 53.9% 52.4%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 24.2%
Player Fouled 18.3% 18.3%
Turnover 11.1% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET MEM
Shot Blocked 4.2% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 20.0%