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Detroit at Chicago

  Monday Jan 9, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Chicago, IL | Odds: Chicago by 14, Total Points: 177.5 | Team Pages: DET | CHI

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET CHI
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting DET CHI
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 89.7 84.1
Field Goal % 41.8% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 66.4 62.1
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 36.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 23.2
Free Throw % 70.4% 78.4%

Ball Control DET CHI
Rebounds 51.2 52.6
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 39.2
Rebounds - Offensive 15.9 13.4
Turnovers 10.0 12.0
Blocked Shots 6.0 5.3
Steals 6.6 5.2
Fouls 17.2 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET CHI
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with DET CHI
2 Point Attempt 58.1% 55.5%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 19.7%
Player Fouled 15.6% 17.9%
Turnover 10.4% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 6.9%

Odds Per Shot Taken DET CHI
Shot Blocked 6.4% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 27.5%